1. Macroeconomic Landscape and Strategic Context of the Industry
Ukraine’s thermal insulation materials and building envelope market as of 2025 is undergoing a period of fundamental transformation driven by a complex of geopolitical, economic, and regulatory factors. The industry, traditionally viewed through the lens of seasonal construction demand, has acquired strategic significance in the context of national security and energy independence. The key development vector has become large-scale restoration of damaged housing stock and infrastructure, occurring in parallel with implementation of strict European energy efficiency standards.
1.1. Regulatory Imperatives and Standardization
The defining factor of market dynamics in 2025 is the harmonization of Ukrainian construction legislation with European Union standards. Specifically, this concerns the transition to NZEB (Near Zero Energy Buildings) standards. This transition requires developers and private investors to use comprehensive solutions that include not only thicker insulation layers but also integration of recuperation systems, high-efficiency glazing, and renewable energy sources.
State support programs such as the Energy Efficiency Fund and the “GreenDIM” program serve as catalysts for demand for certified materials. In June 2025, the European Union together with Germany provided additional financing of 18 million euros to support these initiatives, demonstrating long-term confidence from international partners in the chosen course of thermal modernization. This creates a stable, government and donor-guaranteed sales market for manufacturers capable of confirming their product compliance with high quality standards.
1.2. Economic Challenges: Inflation and Pricing
Despite positive demand trends, the manufacturing sector faces serious economic challenges. Analysis of forecasts from leading market players indicates inevitable growth in the cost of construction materials and work in 2025. Experts expect price increases in the range of 15% to 25%, driven by the cumulative effect of several macroeconomic indicators.
First, there is significant inflationary pressure, which according to forecasts may reach 10% annually. This directly affects the cost of raw material components, a significant portion of which, especially for the chemical industry (polystyrene foam production) and metallurgy (high-quality coated steel), remains import-dependent. Currency fluctuations, particularly the expected dollar rate of 45 hryvnias, automatically increase the final product cost for Ukrainian consumers.
Second, changes in fiscal policy, particularly the increase in military tax from 1.5% to 5%, raise the tax burden on payroll and operational activities of enterprises. This forces manufacturers to revise wholesale prices to maintain profitability.
Third, a critical factor remains the shortage of qualified labor. Mobilization processes and migration have led to a shortage of installation specialists, provoking wage growth in the sector and, consequently, increasing the cost of facade insulation services. Labor market analysis shows that prices for facade insulation work start from 550-650 UAH per square meter, and this figure tends to grow.



