Forecast 3: Global transition to a circular economy, regenerative construction, and recycling of ruins
The scale of destruction of Ukraine’s building stock caused by the enemy surpasses any notion of modern conflicts. As of early 2023, over 140,000 completely or partially destroyed buildings were officially recorded, with an average of about 383 facilities destroyed daily. This apocalyptic process generated about 1.4 billion tons of construction waste—colossal mountains of concrete, mangled reinforced concrete, broken brick, shattered glass, wood, and plastic. However, paradoxically, this national environmental and infrastructure disaster has become the most powerful trigger for implementing strict circular construction principles in Ukraine. The circular economy views mountains of construction debris not as harmful waste to be thoughtlessly buried in overcrowded landfills, but as highly valuable, strategic secondary raw materials for creating the cities of the future.
Recycling destruction waste: From problem to resource
The traditional, depleting linear economic model (“take resources, make a product, throw away waste”) is being finally and irrevocably replaced by a closed production loop. The global construction sector is traditionally the planet’s biggest consumer: it uses about 40% of all global natural resources and simultaneously produces about 40% of all global waste. In the context of Ukraine, which has lost a huge share of its industry, reusing materials significantly and radically reduces the burden on ecosystems, stops the influx of new materials, and avoids energy-intensive production processes (such as smelting steel using fossil fuels).
The most iconic, flagship example of this transition is the pilot renovation project by the French company “Neo-Eco” in the city of Hostomel, Kyiv region. Under this ambitious project, with a budget of 45 million euros financially supported by the French government and other international donors, the plan is to rebuild six modern residential buildings with 310 apartments, as well as a school for 1,000 students and a kindergarten in a military town near the airport. As a first step, the company dismantled four destroyed buildings, completing the complex process in just four weeks.
During the work, about 15,000 tons of construction waste were sorted and recycled. This proved to be an unprecedented challenge, because waste from military destruction, unlike ordinary construction debris, is a chaotic mix of materials, household items, furniture, and sometimes even remnants of ammunition. Thanks to careful sorting, 10% of the materials (specifically those containing toxic asbestos or beyond recovery) were safely sent for specialized disposal to certified companies. The remaining 90% of the mass (concrete, brick) was successfully crushed and processed into new building fractions right at the demolition site. This logistical approach eliminates the need for expensive transportation costs. To guarantee quality, “Neo-Eco” sent about 200 kg of samples to laboratories in France for a thorough safety analysis and to develop new concrete recipes. According to the company’s vice president, Bart Gruyaert, reusing materials optimizes Ukraine’s overall recovery budget by a significant 20-25%.
Despite typical bureaucratic hurdles, such as critical delays in approving urban planning conditions and restrictions and land allocation, which temporarily stall the development of sketch projects by architectural bureaus (like “Blau” and “Nhood Ukraine”), such projects are inevitably scaling up. For example, the Israeli company “GreenMix” is developing a pilot project to build a powerful construction waste recycling plant in the Kyiv region, responding to the situation in the Bucha community, where the volume of debris after clearing rubble is estimated at over 2 million tons. The analytical report “Analysis of the problem of recycling destruction waste: the military dimension,” created by the public union “Stop Poisoning Kryvyi Rih” (authors Y. Orekhanova, A. Ambrosova, K. Taran), emphasizes the acute need for legislative regulation of this sector. Ukraine still lacks specific regulations for handling destruction waste. To stimulate the industry, it is necessary to adapt European experience: for example, the Netherlands recycles 90% of waste thanks to a legislative ban on taking it to landfills, and the UK has a tax on the use of primary natural raw materials. By 2035, such regulatory tools will become the norm in Ukraine, and processing clusters will operate around every metropolis. Domestic companies, such as “Hammel Ukraine” and “Olnova,” which currently mainly supply crushing and screening equipment, will evolve into powerful players in the recycling market.
Innovative and eco-friendly materials of the micro-circular economy
The regenerative approach to construction involves using not only recycled reinforced concrete or secondary crushed stone, but also using the latest biomaterials. According to the ambitious concept of the same “Neo-Eco” company, three types of recycled concrete (structural, lightweight, and insulating-structural) will be used to build the load-bearing structures of new buildings, while wall panels will be made from innovative blocks containing natural wood and compressed straw. Despite the fact that in France such materials are often treated with prejudice due to fear of fires, Ukrainian local committees have demonstrated a high openness to environmental innovations.
In parallel with large international investments, a grassroots micro-circular economy is activating and gaining momentum at the local level. In Kharkiv and the region, which suffered horrific destruction, architects are already putting these principles into practice. Architect Oleksandr Bilnyi designed a second floor for an old late-19th-century estate in the village of Ruska Lozova using old bricks from a dismantled Soviet extension, and also created quality cladding material by crushing brick remnants into a fine fraction and pouring them with white cement. Famous architect Oleh Drozdov, when rebuilding a damaged house on Chernyshevska Street, refused to buy new materials, arranging to use high-quality old bricks from a dismantled neighboring one-story house. He applied a similar approach when rebuilding a showroom and service station in Pyatykhatky, using steel elements from a destroyed Soviet industrial building.
Public initiatives play a huge role in this evolution. The organization “Kharkiv Zero Waste” founded a special circular construction zone, the “CC Yard” site in Ruska Lozova, where building materials from destroyed buildings (like the village council) were brought. Activists freely distributed plumbing, furniture, windows, doors, wallpaper, and drywall to residents to restore their homes. Later, due to the escalation of hostilities, this site was moved to Kharkiv to the base of the local Ecohub, which in a year and a half handed out over a thousand salvaged items to people. By 2035, this volunteer practice will be institutionalized: every city will have an extensive network of official municipal banks of secondary building materials, and detailed material passports will become a mandatory, legally enshrined requirement when designing any new buildings, making it easy to dismantle them in the future without harming the environment.